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Patriots open as huge favorites over Texans

Posted by Zuri Berry, Boston.com Staff  January 6, 2013 01:12 PM

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Only diehard Texans fans still believe in Houston. When the Texans come to Gillette Stadium Sunday Jan. 13, they'll be 9.5-point underdogs in the AFC divisional playoff matchup.

The Patriots beat the Texans almost a month ago, 42-14, and that huge win has bettors convinced the Patriots can replicate the effort. After the line opened, originally at -10, 63 percent of all bettors took the Patriots in the spread, according to P.J. Walsh, director of sports information at SportsInsights.com, a Beverly, Mass. based company.

SportsInsights.com receives betting percentages from seven offshore sports books, allowing for the company to gain rare insight into the behavior of bettors.

According to Walsh, when the line dropped, that indicated the "early sharp money grabbed the Texans at +10."

"However, it'll be interesting to see if the public continues to bet the Patriots this week and what effect that has on the line," Walsh said via e-mail. "My guess is that the Patriots' 42-14 win over the Texans is still fresh enough that bettors will continue to lay the points with New England all week, but the big question is how high the sharp bettors will let the line get before buying back Houston."


News, analysis and commentary from Boston.com's staff writers and contributors, including Zuri Berry and Erik Frenz.

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