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Harvard mercury data conflict with EPA's

Research omitted in agency's push for emissions rule

WASHINGTON -- When the Environmental Protection Agency unveiled a rule last week to limit mercury emissions from US power plants, officials emphasized that the controls could not be more aggressive because the cost to industry already far exceeded the public health payoff.

What they did not disclose is that a Harvard University study paid for by the EPA, co-authored by an EPA scientist, and peer-reviewed by two other EPA scientists had reached the opposite conclusion.

That analysis estimated health benefits 100 times as great as the EPA did, but top agency officials ordered the finding stripped from public documents, said a staff member who helped develop the rule. Acknowledging the Harvard study would have forced the agency to consider more stringent controls, said environmentalists and the study's coauthor.

The disclosure that the Harvard study was omitted drew strong criticism from lawmakers yesterday.

''Why did the administration hide its own research on toxic mercury pollution when the health of women and children is on the line?" asked Senator John F. Kerry, Democrat of Massachusetts. ''How can you make the right decision when the facts are buried to help corporate special interest?"

''I am outraged that the Environmental Protection Agency would suppress this report," said Representative Edward J. Markey, also a Democrat of Massachusetts. ''EPA used to stand for Environmental Protection Agency. Now it stands for 'Every Polluter's Ally.' "

The mercury issue has long been the focus of heated argument between utilities and environmental advocates. Health advocates say mercury is so harmful to fetuses and pregnant women that steps are needed to sharply control emissions; industry groups and the Bush administration have warned that overly aggressive measures would impose heavy costs.

Announcing the new rule March 15, officials used charts to emphasize that most mercury toxicity in the United States comes from foreign sources, and they used their cost-benefit analysis to show domestic controls had minimal impact. Asked about the Harvard analysis, Al McGartland, director of the EPA's National Center for Environmental Economics, said it was submitted too late to be factored into the agency's calculations. He added that crucial elements of the analysis were flawed.

Interviews and documents, however, show that the EPA received the study results by the Jan. 3 deadline and that officials had been briefed about its methodology as early as last August. EPA officials referred to some aspects of the Harvard study in a briefing for the Washington Post on Feb. 2.

The Harvard study concluded that mercury controls similar to those the EPA proposed could save nearly $5 billion a year through reduced neurological and cardiac harm. On March 15, however, officials said the health benefits were worth no more than $50 million a year, while the cost to industry would be $750 million a year.

''They are saying if they fail to regulate mercury from power plants at all, it really wouldn't make a difference," said John Walke, clean air director with the Natural Resources Defense Council, an environmental advocacy group. ''To acknowledge the real benefits would be to raise the next question: Why didn't you go further?"

James Hammitt, director of the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis and coauthor of the study, agreed: ''If you have a larger effect of the benefits, that would suggest more aggressive controls were justified."

Mercury is a toxic metal emitted by industrial sources. US power plants emit 48 tons a year, and the new rule establishes an emissions-trading program that is expected to lower emissions to about 31 tons by 2010 and to about 15 tons by 2026. The Harvard analysis was based on similar targets in President Bush's ''Clear Skies" proposal.

In most cases, mercury toxicity results from eating fish: Industrial emissions fall from the air into water and are taken up by fish. Because the metal does not break down, it moves steadily up the food chain to species people consume. A major reason for the dramatic difference in the health-benefit estimates was that the EPA looked only at the effects of reducing mercury levels in freshwater fish, but most of the fish Americans eat come from oceans.

Even though US power plants contribute only about 1 percent of the mercury in the oceans, reducing even that small amount makes a difference, Hammitt said. The EPA has said ocean species such as tuna, pollock, shrimp, and halibut account for two-thirds of the mercury Americans consume, while catfish, the largest source of mercury among freshwater fish, accounts for only 3 percent. Hammitt's analysis also factored in recent evidence that mercury causes heart attacks among adults. The EPA said other studies contradicted that finding and, therefore, it quantified only the impact of mercury's better-known neurological hazards. Spokeswoman Cynthia Bergman called Hammitt's cardiac analysis ''flawed."

McGartland said the preliminary Harvard results sent to the agency Jan. 3 were inadequate, and the full study did not become available until February. He questioned the Harvard findings about marine mercury, arguing that ocean levels of mercury do not easily change. No EPA draft of the rule ever discussed the Harvard results, he said.

But the EPA staff member involved with developing the rule said the reference deleted from rule-making documents would have told the public about the Harvard results. ''The idea was to say Harvard School of Public Health had quantified these [cardiac] benefits and the amount of these benefits was --." The blank was to be filled in with a figure in the billions once the final report became available, said the staff member, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

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