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Tomorrow's Oscar nominees today

Posted by Wesley Morris  January 21, 2009 11:59 AM

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Tomorrow morning the Oscar nominations arrive, and there's some last-minute speculation about who and what will be in or, in the immortal word of Heidi Klum, out. For now, I'll make a drive-by list of the six major categories and tomorrow will apply more thought (but not too much, I swear).


Certainly: "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button," "Milk," "Slumdog Millionaire"
Probably: "Frost/Nixon," "The Dark Knight,"
Maybe, but probably not: "Doubt," "Gran Torino," "The Reader," "Revolutionary Road"
Hopefully: "WALL-E"

Certainly: Danny Boyle, "Slumdog Millionaire"; David Fincher, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"; Gus Van Sant, "Milk"
Probably: Ron Howard, "Frost Nixon"; Christopher Nolan, "The Dark Knight"
Maybe, but probably not: Stephen Daldry, "The Reader"; Sam Mendes, "Revolutionary Road"; Clint Eastwood, "Gran Torino"
Hopefully: Andrew Stanton, "WALL-E"

Certainly: Frank Langella, "Frost/Nixon"; Sean Penn, "Milk"; Mickey Rourke, "The Wrestler"
Probably: Clint Eastwood, "Gran Torino"; Brad Pitt, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"
Maybe, but probably not: Tom Cruise, "Valkyrie"; Leonardo DiCaprio "Revolutionary Road"; Colin Farrell, "In Bruges"
Hopefully: Richard Jenkins, "The Visitor"

Certainly: Anne Hathaway, "Rachel Getting Married"; Meryl Streep, "Doubt"; Kate Winslet, "Revolutionary Road"
Probably: Angelina Jolie, "Changeling"; Sally Hawkins, "Happy-Go-Lucky"
Maybe, but probably not: Kristin Scott-Thomas, "I Loved You So Long"; Michelle Williams, "Wendy and Lucy"
Hopefully: Melissa Leo, "Frozen River"

Certainly: Josh Brolin, "Milk"; Robert Downey Jr., "Tropic Thunder"; Heath Ledger, "The Dark Knight"
Probably: Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Doubt"; Dev Patel in "Slumdog Millionaire"
Maybe, but probably not: Aaron Eckhart, "The Dark Knight," Bill Irwin, "Rachel Getting Married"; David Kross, "The Reader"
Hopefully: Tom Cruise, "Tropic Thunder"

Certainly: Viola Davis, "Doubt"; Penélope Cruz, "Vicky Cristina Barcelona"
Probably: Amy Adams, "Doubt"; " Taraji P. Henson, "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"; Kate Winslet, "The Reader"
Maybe, but probably not: Marisa Tomei, "The Wrestler"; Rosemarie DeWitt, "Rachel Getting Married; Misty Upham, "Frozen River"
Hopefully: Hiam Abbass, "The Visitor"

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11 comments so far...
  1. I'd go with a probably for Tomei in "The Wrestler," if not certainly. Where is "The Wrestler" in your Best Picture category, Wesley? Sure, there are probably's and expected's, etc. but as a critic/fan of film, you can't even insert it into "Maybe, but Probably Not" or "Hopefully"? We've got an overacted melodrama that goes nowhere in "Revolutionary Road," a weak interpretation of the novel; and we've got a lifeless, mundane "Frost/Nixon" that barely gets by on its performances, among other choices. "The Wrestler" is a deeply personal, heartbreaking and remarkable film that is hard to come by in the modern day.

    Posted by tyu890 January 21, 09 03:10 PM
  1. Enough with the Wall-E talk- it wasn't even the best DISNEY movie this year. While the animation was gorgeous, as is usual with Pixar, it wasn't as groundbreaking as other Pixar fare. The Wall-E plot and storyline was downright juvenile- a la fifth grader science project essay juvenile. And it only has wooden, one dimensional characters that retrench old fare. If you want to award Pixar, the award should have gone to Ratatouille (go see it all you Pixar noobs), if you want to award the content, give Al Gore the Lifetime Achievement Award and be done with it..

    Posted by mynameisbob January 21, 09 03:21 PM
  1. Anyone but Sean Penn, pleeeeeeease. I don't need to hear some political pontification from some actor with an IQ equal to his age, and you know he will if he wins. God I hate him.

    Posted by Johnny Drama January 21, 09 03:50 PM
  1. I have seen most of these movies, and I did not except much from The Curious Case of Benjamin Button as a film, but I was really was fantastic. Hope it wins. I also hope Clint Eastwood wins for Best Actor, and Angeline Jolie deserves to win for The Changeling...her acting was fantastic.

    Posted by Sharon January 21, 09 04:39 PM
  1. Wall-E was such a brilliant film, I hope it doesn't get stuck in just the animated film categories...

    Posted by jhaydenwhite January 21, 09 05:02 PM
  1. If Dev Patel was a supporting actor in 'Slumdog Millionare' then who would have been the lead? Were movies so bad this year that 'Benjamin Button' could be notinated for multiple Oscars? Why would anyone from 'Tropic Thunder' be a lock to be nominated?

    Posted by Necrobutcher January 21, 09 05:13 PM
  1. "The nominees MIGHT be,,,"??????

    That is news?

    Real news is "The nominees ARE..."

    Posted by follywood January 21, 09 05:31 PM
  1. R U kidding me, Wall-e!
    wat were U thinking!!!!!!

    Posted by Barry January 21, 09 07:05 PM
  1. seymour hoffman should win best actor for synechdoche. should be up for best movie of the year too.

    Posted by diemythtruth January 21, 09 07:05 PM
  1. WALL-E - the most over-rated movie of all time...

    Posted by ME January 21, 09 07:12 PM
  1. WALL-E was great until they introduced humans into the movie. It wrecked the film.

    No way should it be nominated for anything but animated feature.

    Posted by justin January 22, 09 12:11 AM

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